Draft Value Curve

Value by Pick

Pick Values

PickValue
1100.0
284.0
375.2
469.0
564.2
660.2
756.7
853.7
950.9
1048.0
1145.1
1242.5
1340.1
1437.9
1535.9
1634.1
1732.6
1831.3
1929.9
2028.8
2127.4
2226.2
2325.0
2423.8
2522.7
2621.7
2720.7
2819.6
2918.6
3017.6
3115.0
3214.4
3313.7
3413.1
3512.5
3612.0
3711.4
3811.0
3910.4
409.9
419.5
429.1
438.7
448.2
457.8
467.4
477.0
486.6
496.2
505.8
515.4
525.1
534.7
544.3
554.0
563.7
573.3
582.9
592.6
602.2

Pick Lab

Sandbox
–
Expected Value
41.5
value at each possible slot
Formula · Step-by-Step
EV  =  [ Σᵢ₌1..30  P(i) · V(i) ]  ×  D(2026)

Assumes uniform distribution: each slot equally likely
P(i)  =  1 / n  =  1 / 30  =  0.0333   for all i in [1, 30]
V(i)  =  value-curve value at slot i

Slot breakdown  (contribution = P × V):
    i= 1:  V=100.00  ×  0.0333  =   3.333
    i= 2:  V= 84.01  ×  0.0333  =   2.800
    i= 3:  V= 75.16  ×  0.0333  =   2.505
    i= 4:  V= 68.95  ×  0.0333  =   2.298
    ...
    i=28:  V= 19.61  ×  0.0333  =   0.654
    i=29:  V= 18.61  ×  0.0333  =   0.620
    i=30:  V= 17.56  ×  0.0333  =   0.585

Σ P(i) · V(i)  =  41.451   (undiscounted)
D(2026) = 1.0000  (current year — no discount)

EV  =  41.451  ×  1.0000  =  41.45